Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Jan 2020

Market Update with Chad Phillips 
Re/Max Gold Roseville

We're seeing the market start slow this year.  This is typical; however, what we're not used to seeing is inventory this low.  Generally I'm of the opinion for my sellers to wait until spring time, or at least after the Superbowl to list their house for sale.  This is the first year where I'm thinking a seller will potentially gain more on the sale of their home by listing now and beating the usual influx of homes that tend to come up for sale in April/May.
Interest rates are near record lows as well.  With rates in the low to high 3's, it's certainly an incentive for buyers to make the move.  Rates are also encouraging some folks to say put and refinance.  I'm currently in that boat!  I'm looking to do a cash out refi on my primary to pay off a rental property.  The numbers make sense! Another benefit of a refi could be to shave off years on the loan.  Going from a 30 year to a 20 year or even 15 year loan and your payment is roughly the same.  That will save you a lot of money over time.
As for the coming year, 2020 looks to be another year of gains in property values.  There are several factors that indicate that we're on a solid path, notably the jobs reports, low inventory, interest rates and overall strength of the economy.  I do foresee some factors that are posed to negatively effect us though.  This rent control bill will likely have a negative impact.  The intention of the bill is to keep rents low; however, I think the 5% a year cap is only going to encourage landlords to adhere to this an impose the 5% a year.  Another proposition on the table is getting rid of prop 13, but they disguise it by this title: California Tax on Commercial and Industrial Properties for Education and Local Government Funding Initiative.  If this goes thru it will drive more businesses out of California.  If commercial property owners property taxes skyrocket, it's going to translate to higher leases.  It might take a couple years to hit home, but when leases come up for renewal we'll start to see more offices buildings empty.  The lack of common sense here is disturbing, and unfortunately deliberate.
For what it's worth, I'm predicting a good 2020 and then a market correction in 2021.  Regardless of who wins the presidency!  The market has rebounded from the bottom at 2012 to surpass values of the past peak in 2005.  There are no indicators of a crash like we had before, but a price correction is what I'm preparing for.  Only time will tell!  Keep your real estate investments conservative at this point.  If you need help running the numbers on a project, feel free to contact me and let's see if it's viable and worth doing.  Have a great 2020 folks.

Friday, January 10, 2020

2020 placer county real estate market


I like to do quarterly updates and here we are in the new year.  Currently we're seeing low inventory which is contributing to the rise in prices.  Supply and demand, simple concept but of course there's more to the story.  Interest rates are near record lows and it's an incentive to keep the market going.  What we're seeing though is more folks refinancing and staying put. 
Usually I advise folks that are thinking about selling to wait until early spring to list; however, this year is different.  I have several clients that are getting ready to sell and I'm advising the sooner the better.  For example, I have a house coming soon in Orangevale at 375K.  Currently there are only 2 houses on the market between 350 - 375K and one of them just hit the market.  It's likely that a seller will make more right now than waiting for spring. 
If you're looking to sell this year, contract me to come formulate a game plan.  It's just as important to know what not to do for preparing your house for sale.
Below are some info about the market as a whole.  This is your Roseville real estate agent signing out.  I'll have a more in depth quarterly review come April.

BUSY '20?

The U.S. housing market is poised for a brisk year. In CoreLogic's latest Home Price Insights report, Chief Economist Dr. Frank Nothaft said, “The latest U.S. index shows that the slowdown in home prices we saw in early 2019 ended by late summer. The decline in mortgage rates has supported a rise in sales activity and home prices.” CoreLogic predicts home prices will rise 5.3% year-over-year by November.


Mortgage interest rates have hovered in a limited range for the last two months according to Freddie Mac. In its Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ending January 2, Freddie dubs the activity "welcome news after the interest rate turbulence of the last year, which caused a slowdown in the housing market," and declared that "the low mortgage rate environment combined with the red-hot labor market is setting the stage for a continued rise in home sales and home prices."


Average rent rose nationwide according to January's National Rent Report from Zumper. Rent for a one bedroom rose .4% in December to $1,217 per month, while average rent for a two-bedroom increased .1% to $1,440. In its survey of over 1 million active rental listings, Zumper says the majority of large rent growths nationwide occurred in the mid to lower tiered markets.


Idaho and New Jersey got top billing in United Van Lines' 43rd Annual National Movers Study. Idaho had the highest number of people moving in, followed by Oregon and Arizona. New Jersey saw the most outbound immigration, followed by New York and Connecticut. United Van Lines has been tracking U.S. migration trends since 1977.


Chad Phillips Real Estate Broker Associate  RE/MAX GOLD
916-390-1476 2998 Douglas Blvd #125 Roseville CA.  95661 |chad.remaxgold@gmail.com | www.RealEstate-Roseville.com
LIC # 01405825